Democrats are leading in the tight midterm race with a 4% edge over the GOP on the generic congressional ballot, as voters rank abortion as a leading issue over inflation.
A new Suffolk University/USA Today poll shook up the midterms, after 44% of voters said that if the election were held today they would vote for a Democrat candidate, while 40% said they would vote for a Republican. About 16% still remain undecided.
Republicans have taken a hit over the past month, after a June poll from the university found Democrats and Republicans were evenly split on the generic congressional ballot with both parties receiving 40% of the vote.
While the economy remains most important to voters in the upcoming election – with 20% saying it is the most important issue – the poll revealed that many believe abortion trumps inflation as the most important issue this election cycle. Nearly 16% of voters said abortion is the leading issue, with about 11% saying inflation, despite it hitting a 40-year high of 9.1% in June.
The poll results come after the June Supreme Court decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, giving the power to place limitations on abortion back to the states.
The economy ranked as the most important issue that will affect the vote in the upcoming election, receiving 20% of the overall vote. Due to the rising costs of consumer goods, 58% said that because of the recent spike in prices they are going to eat out less often.
Thursday, the second quarterly gross domestic product (GDP) dropped to an annual rate of 0.9%, marking the second negative decline in economic growth in the April-June quarter.
Most economists define a recession as two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth, which is what the data today revealed has happened to the United States economy.
Democrats currently have the advantage over Republicans, however, President Joe Biden’s plummeting approval rating, soaring inflation, and a rocky economy could have a negative effect on Democrats in the midterms.
The poll showed that only 39% strongly or somewhat approve of the job President Joe Biden is doing.
Former President Donald Trump has played a major role in this year’s midterm election, hand-picking candidates to endorse almost weekly. The poll revealed that about 44% are less likely to vote for a candidate that is backed by the former president.
Among the voters, roughly 76% believe that the country is on the wrong track, a number that is up 5% since June.
The Suffolk University survey was conducted July 22-24, 2022, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.